Far-Flung-Dogsled
0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$974.54
Total PnL
$-102.00
Realised
$83.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
730 shares @ 67.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$500.07
$4.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$141.67
$41.67
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
121 shares @ 80.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$102.04
$5.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$75.83
$-24.17
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 70.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.00
$9.95
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
82 shares @ 57.7¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.70
$-9.59
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.82
$2.03
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
60 shares @ 75.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$16.50
$-28.50
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
41 shares @ 73.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$6.98
$-23.02
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
57 shares @ 17.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.93
$-9.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$10.335h ago
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$50.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$18.901d ago
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5$2.053d ago
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5$10.143d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$10.183d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$38.693d ago
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$48.803d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.003d ago
- TRADESELLHouthis successfully target shipping by April 30?$136.603d ago
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$100.004d ago
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$19.624d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$30.005d ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$2.005d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$29.205d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$40.005d ago
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Raptors$41.665d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$3.125d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$23.705d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".