Inborn-Anarchist
0x6eb0a68b61332df6be9e009d293dc9a80dc21a72
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-343.47
Realised
$34.71
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?
463 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-85.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or higher on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on August 15?
283 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.05
- UNDER
Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC: O/U 0.5
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?$0.14Aug 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?$1.09Aug 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?$5.47Aug 16, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?$0.61Aug 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?$159.45Aug 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?$159.69Aug 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?$29.01Aug 16, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$91.34Aug 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$0.04Aug 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$0.03Aug 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$149.55Aug 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$199.40Aug 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$11.06Aug 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$0.01Aug 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$0.20Aug 15, 15:54 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?$0.00Aug 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?$280.63Aug 15, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$33.73Aug 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?$26.43Aug 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWillem II Tilburg vs. NEC: O/U 0.5$1.17Aug 15, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $133.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.