Bare-Cclamp
0x6eb438f8735703b107420e5ea50baf6fb0de4f0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.08
Total PnL
$-11.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
17 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.21May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Oct 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$10.00Oct 7, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out as president of France in 2024?$0.69Dec 14, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEM1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$11.76Dec 14, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMMichel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?$11.76Dec 14, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron impeached in 2024?$3.04Dec 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out as president of France in 2024?$5.00Dec 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron impeached in 2024?$5.00Dec 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$10.00Dec 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?$10.00Dec 4, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".