Square-Birdcage
0x6ebcddf69ec3140aa9f9b8ac533818e655de6a14
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 20?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in January?
531 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
396 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft reach $645 in January?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
50 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?$75.15Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?$75.01Jun 1, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$75.08May 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$75.00May 22, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$75.08May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$51.00May 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$24.00May 21, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$77.08May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$77.00May 10, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$77.15May 10, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$77.01May 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$77.08May 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$77.00May 4, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$78.08May 4, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$78.01Apr 30, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$77.07Apr 30, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$77.00Apr 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?$77.07Apr 25, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $59.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.