Absolute-Count
0x6ec53970165924e9bf0d5600209664a607d60588
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$-167.92
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.1K
$594.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$16.66
$-483.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
1111 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-465.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
1111 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-497.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-499.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$72.00Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.76Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.25Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$40.50Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.25Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$40.50Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$6.38Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.64Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$11.66Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$20.45Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$20.45Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$20.45Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.86Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.82Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$27.49Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.82Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.93Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$41.40Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$4.50Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$6.75Jul 25, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.