Wry-Nuke
0x6ecf2cbf0921e3a3e49557eb1af60ab12959a4a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.80
Total PnL
$-3.71
Realised
$-9.46
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
14 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$13.76
$0.76
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
8 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$8.33
$2.33
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$5.00
$1.75
- NO
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.82
$0.62
- NO
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.52
$0.04
- NO
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.29
$0.31
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.09
$0.00
- YES
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?
31 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Georgia win Eurovision 2025?$40.27Apr 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$24.93Apr 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2025?$60.50Apr 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$19.57Apr 24, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.81Apr 24, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$29.12Apr 24, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$10.29Apr 24, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$22.00Apr 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$6.00Apr 1, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$46.99Apr 1, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$26.00Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$21.00Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Hornets$0.00Apr 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$49.00Mar 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$12.00Mar 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Hornets$1.6KMar 31, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Hornets$3.5KMar 31, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Hornets$19.27Mar 31, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$21.00Mar 31, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$13.00Mar 31, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $294.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.