Pungent-Refund
0x6ed10120c9cf63e63f92b1e303d263f94c55c46b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$13.65
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$12.10
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
212 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.24
$-6.76
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1825 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-54.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1483 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-103.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1332 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
915 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
755 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
590 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-113.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 29, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00May 29, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.00May 18, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.00May 18, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$8.11May 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.28May 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.91May 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$10.09Apr 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.64Apr 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.76Apr 28, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$15.41Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$11.88Apr 24, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$7.69Apr 24, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$3.00Apr 24, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.00Apr 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".