Tender-Gymnastics
0x6ed3e1cf994de0ba290caa12dad46457e89a7b28
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$37.04
Total PnL
$-36.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$37.04
$7.04
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
728 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 12?
38 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
22 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$31.43Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.38May 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 12?$9.03May 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?$5.13May 11, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$9.50Jan 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$10.00Jan 14, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $12.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.