Sweltering-Inheritance
0x6ed63550d61e043191cbbc713d8a4777450a6a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
8174 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-112.82
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his announcement on September 2?
6931 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-292.58
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
5624 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
3350 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
3272 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-78.53
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
2573 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-287.36
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2034 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-202.43
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?
2000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
2000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1867 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5$45.54Jul 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$45.70Jul 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$49.30Jul 14, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out by July 17?$36.00Jul 8, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$75.75Jun 15, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$76.37Jun 15, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$68.14Jun 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$66.55Jun 8, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$187.28May 27, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$179.66May 27, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$410.24May 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.0KMay 6, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$2.3KMay 6, 11:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.21May 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.1KMay 1, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$2.0KApr 30, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$112.50Apr 29, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$131.18Apr 29, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$253.98Apr 29, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?$0.93Apr 26, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $193.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.