Conventional-Pantology
0x6eda58170d6b27f04c4fa36ee9a6ee1a6c75f4e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.90
Total PnL
$-103.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-4.10
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?
87 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$8.33Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$24.19Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$3.07Jul 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$5.06Jul 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.06Jul 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$5.06Jul 9, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6.94Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$19.61Jul 6, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-05?$45.04Jul 6, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$5.09Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$10.11Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$5.04Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$10.19Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$10.15Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$10.11Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$20.19Jul 6, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$14.08Jul 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$3.51Jun 28, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$6.17Jun 28, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$7.58Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.