Afraid-Legging
0x6ede8da91d6cada91099e95e38775097412fca6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$1.31
Total PnL
$-111.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PARTIZAN
Valencia vs. Partizan
146 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7PM ET
130 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on October 31?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.35May 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.50May 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.20Jan 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$2.00Jan 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$11.96Jan 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$0.69Dec 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$0.54Dec 30, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$1.55Dec 30, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$0.18Dec 30, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$0.15Dec 30, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$0.18Dec 30, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$2.20Dec 30, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$2.60Dec 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Partizan$6.00Dec 30, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLPartizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda$67.81Dec 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPartizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda$1.32Dec 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPartizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda$2.20Dec 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPartizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda$2.70Dec 12, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.