Delirious-Penalty
0x6ee60316909d1d2fed1d641fa5bf62464efba6c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-490.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
1479 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
70°F in NYC in December?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ryan Selkis arrested in 2024?
90 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
83 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton win on 2024-11-29?$0.57Nov 27, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Chess Championship 2024 Winner$10.00Nov 27, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$15.00Nov 27, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$35.00Nov 27, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Selkis arrested in 2024?$10.00Nov 27, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?$5.00Nov 27, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY70°F in NYC in December?$15.00Nov 27, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLunchly recall in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnsem criminal charges in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?$5.00Nov 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "mog" in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC pregnant in 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla bot at Trump inauguration?$5.00Nov 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$5.00Nov 27, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $18.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 27, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.