Composed-Valuable
0x6ef5f4a55072aad6cd06eaec7a7323f6fa6acb3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
3191 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
504 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?
135 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Dolphins
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $118.02Jan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$207.69Jan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$835.32Jan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$1.0KJan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$1.0KJan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.5KJan 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.0KJan 2, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.7KDec 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$110.39Dec 29, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.5KDec 11, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMDolphins vs. Jets$1.0KDec 8, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Jets$1000.00Dec 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$500.00Dec 2, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.0KDec 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.7KDec 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLPepe ETF in 2025?$2.5KDec 2, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?$5.00Dec 2, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?$1.2KDec 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?$5.00Nov 25, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?$5.00Nov 25, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $893.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.