Constant-Peony
0x6efa83c9c7f1d133dfae19722d1b6142134b2947
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$73.48
Total PnL
$-67.58
Realised
$-11.12
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$22.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$13.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
30 shares @ 32.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$11.25
$1.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$5.80
$4.52
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 46.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.63
$-1.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.65
$-14.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$2.45
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$8.40Jun 5, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$17.10Jun 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.90Jun 4, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$3.51Jun 4, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$9.99Jun 4, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.00Jun 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.61Jun 3, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.61Jun 3, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$11.00Jun 2, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?$9.41Jun 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.87Jun 2, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$34.53Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.99Jun 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$14.80Jun 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.47Jun 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$9.87Jun 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.07Jun 2, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.68Jun 2, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$3.22Jun 2, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$19.90Jun 2, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".