Granular-Mean
0x6f01bb2ee2a05f9492e79a3d4738171c27318ecc
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$40.00
Total PnL
$-49.7K
Realised
$-20.8K
Win rate
26%
141 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
40 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$40.00
$16.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
4228 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3211 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-527.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2693 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-504.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
2217 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
2183 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
2134 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-426.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2010 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-202.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1913 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-373.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1884 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$22.92Feb 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$23.60Feb 23, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$25.60Feb 23, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$20.40Feb 23, 21:55 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$27.95Feb 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.06Feb 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.70Feb 23, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$17.41Feb 23, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$40.00Feb 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.70Feb 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$9.88Feb 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.22Feb 23, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Feb 23, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$39.71Feb 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$32.40Feb 23, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$31.20Feb 23, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Feb 23, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$44.65Feb 23, 21:31 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$35.35Feb 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$48.00Feb 23, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 141 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
141 closed markets, 26% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 141 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.