Weak-Absence
0x6f02fffcbc88c9b70030d3d7c1c203c2aa1523d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET
84 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.04
$-19.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on August 21 at 4PM ET?
1013 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $100-108m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $114K on August 21 at 4PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4300 on August 21 at 4PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 21 at 4PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on August 20 at 5PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3300 and $3400 on July 23?
735 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET$5.29Jul 21, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET$5.26Jul 21, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET$10.49Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET$16.12Jul 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET$12.26Jul 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET$12.75Jul 21, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$4.24Jul 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3PM ET$2.13Jul 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$13.99Jul 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.23Jul 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$6.43Jul 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12PM ET$7.42Jul 21, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.12Jul 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET$9.46Jul 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET$3.16Jul 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 10AM ET$5.24Jul 21, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.