Elaborate-Probability
0x6f060cb00afa0cd971c88536d73efc9c418b980b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?
2250 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
1818 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DJOKOVIC
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
1379 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- FERRO
Ostrava Open: Fiona Ferro vs Nikola Bartunkova
571 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?
525 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- ROYER
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Fils
479 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- SINNER
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
472 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
460 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?
438 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- YUAN
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigur
436 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-177.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMOpen Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguet$181.08Feb 7, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguet$67.00Feb 6, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLOpen Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Fils$312.19Feb 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTransylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigur$410.54Feb 6, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Fils$200.00Feb 6, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTransylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigur$200.00Feb 6, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTransylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigur$100.00Feb 6, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLOpen Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea$444.00Feb 6, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea$200.00Feb 6, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTransylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigur$77.00Feb 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTransylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigur$100.00Feb 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTauson vs. Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5$50.00Feb 5, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTauson vs. Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5$100.00Feb 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevic$100.00Feb 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OGC Nice win on 2026-02-04?$49.95Feb 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-02-04?$6.00Feb 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Montpellier HSC win on 2026-02-04?$196.24Feb 4, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOGC Nice vs. Montpellier HSC: Both Teams to Score$184.99Feb 4, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-02-04?$20.00Feb 4, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montpellier HSC win on 2026-02-04?$100.00Feb 4, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $135.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".