Boring-Pincenez
0x6f0fcb90c707460d000caa91332a06f88a0a5f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$221.53
Total PnL
$-0.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by August 31?
50 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$47.90
$0.40
- NO
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
50 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.49
$-0.03
- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 95.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.11
$-1.02
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
40 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$40.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$39.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by August 31?$47.50Jul 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$47.51Jul 27, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$1.33Jul 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$5.73Jul 23, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$5.42Jul 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$6.88Jul 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$2.46Jul 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$10.93Jul 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$1.83Jul 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$47.44Jul 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?$47.12Jul 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$40.00Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$6.04Jul 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$47.34Jul 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$39.58Jul 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$40.00Jul 17, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela become 51st state?$40.57Jul 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$48.10Jul 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.44Jul 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$1.48Jul 15, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $23.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.