Circular-Pronoun
0x6f22f8452055bacd2939fcea32bbd1379895e113
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$35.61
Total PnL
$-490.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?
37 shares @ 91.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$35.61
$1.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
149 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
114 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UNDER
Ventforet Kōfu vs. FC Gifu: O/U 3.5
75 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?
70 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-61.70
- OVER
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5
65 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
51 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UNDER
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?
36 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
35 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-28.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?$34.13Jul 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?$32.79Jul 13, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMHammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 2.5$0.16Jul 12, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?$30.13Jul 12, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMGAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5$31.30Jul 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5$28.61Jul 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLHammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 4.5$28.61Jul 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 4.5$26.19Jul 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 2.5$26.18Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 2.5$24.65Jul 12, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$23.66Jul 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$22.11Jul 12, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$23.09Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$20.00Jul 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5$20.01Jul 12, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5$18.50Jul 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 11, 8PM ET$17.68Jul 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 8PM ET$17.05Jul 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$17.85Jul 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$16.76Jul 11, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.