Bountiful-Dock
0x6f246862a1f510eb9ec5455b85c76183f72a5d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.69
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-254.79
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
27488 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-659.72
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
9641 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-219.43
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
5994 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-174.57
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?
4141 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-79.13
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
2173 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1500 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-464.11
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
1418 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 17?
869 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
711 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-276.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLECB rate hike in 2026?$121.42Apr 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$134.87Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$27.40Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$54.85Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on March 31?$84.20Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$102.90Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$270.21Apr 1, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.9KMar 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$453.99Mar 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$245.54Mar 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$145.04Mar 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$23.29Mar 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$12.40Mar 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$33.62Mar 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?$15.90Mar 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$78.04Mar 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?$13.82Mar 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$302.37Mar 10, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$102.30Mar 9, 18:10 UTC
- MERGEBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$476.31Mar 7, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $117.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.