Disloyal-Zero
0x6f2a5ea36bd4e364c22577ea26bb44632f0afa7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$114.41
Total PnL
$-728.99
Realised
$-15.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1264 shares @ 19.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$114.41
$-135.28
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
633 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-81.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
410 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
301 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
294 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.90
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
83 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.66
- YES
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
52 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$257.70May 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$202.02May 25, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$100.07May 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$100.19May 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$100.14May 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$100.27May 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$100.07May 25, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$100.09May 25, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$104.05May 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$100.27May 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$101.01May 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$100.07May 25, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$101.26May 25, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$100.09May 25, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$104.17May 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$100.28May 25, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?$9.87Mar 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$9.60Mar 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$0.26Mar 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$29.90Feb 28, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $48.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.