Old-Polenta
0x6f2d0a92c2def5d45dc5814c25f02b1db88abc24
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.62
Total PnL
$-43.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$10.00
$2.50
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$5.62
$0.62
- YES
No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- TRUMP
Who will win the debate according to polls?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. Recession in 2024?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
10 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWho will win the debate according to polls?$20.00Sep 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "mog" in 2024?$5.00Aug 25, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$10.00Aug 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Harris debate before election?$0.42Aug 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?$7.50Aug 24, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$5.00Aug 24, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2024?$5.00Aug 24, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Recession in 2024?$5.00Aug 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 21, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 8, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".