Lined-Expectancy
0x6f33c65b69e368fb1801c1cf3e6d266a0741395c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.3K
Realised
$742.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1100000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.7K
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
691000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.6K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
672520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-672.52
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$282.00Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$70.38Jun 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$102.43Jun 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$102.43Jun 13, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$99.54Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$672.52Mar 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$672.53Mar 18, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.1KMar 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.9KMar 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.00Mar 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$30.00Mar 4, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$50.00Mar 4, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$100.00Mar 4, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$200.00Mar 4, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$400.00Mar 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$216.67Feb 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$37.89Feb 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$100.00Feb 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$100.00Feb 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.5KFeb 15, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $340.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.