Melodic-Incarnation
0x6f3f0b8b3a27568e2c2d340cb7af86df7c911819
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-513.11
Realised
$22.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
32667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.97
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
14423 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-23.97
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
3988 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2332 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2104 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-54.13
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2074 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 12, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".