Growling-Bough
0x6f42bbbdcb75a73186b27029fc155392c110285d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 29-January 4?
796 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.48
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9?
188 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 29-January 4?
159 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?
158 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$69.72Jan 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$14.96Jan 19, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$4.34Jan 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$10.62Jan 19, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$29.99Jan 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$3.15Jan 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$19.68Jan 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$13.47Jan 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$3.81Jan 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.79Jan 13, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 13, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?$0.00Jan 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$1.51Jan 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Jan 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$3.00Jan 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 9?$5.00Jan 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?$5.00Jan 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9?$5.00Jan 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$5.00Jan 9, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.