Intentional-Leptocephalus
0x6f46b93c92a5283f7a32277d24ee112bbaec72f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.16
Total PnL
$-18.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
902 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
24 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
17 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.06Jun 20, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.21Jun 20, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$6.19Jun 20, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Jun 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.01Jun 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.21Jun 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.21Jun 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.21Jun 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04Jun 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 20, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.89Jun 20, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.03Jun 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 20, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$3.12Jun 20, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$2.38Jun 20, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.49Jun 20, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$15.15Jun 20, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.03Jun 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.07Jun 20, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.