Parallel-Tab-Occurrence
0x6f5700100a5e03a1a75718d3dc4b44c121abb03f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-242.58
Realised
$-206.98
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?
798 shares @ 81.9¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$654.15
$0.64
- YES
Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?
774 shares @ 24.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 1, 2027$174.06
$-17.91
- YES
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?
355 shares @ 50.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$161.50
$-17.55
- YES
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
291 shares @ 25.8¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.73
$0.46
- YES
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?
118 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.12
$-1.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$2.50Aug 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$26.50Aug 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$2.70Aug 5, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?$1.15Aug 5, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?$1.20Aug 5, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?$4.15Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$9.60Aug 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$2.40Aug 5, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$12.00Aug 5, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$11.25Aug 5, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.30Aug 5, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?$11.11Aug 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.35Aug 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?$31.22Aug 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?$65.94Aug 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?$0.72Aug 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.30Aug 5, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.25Aug 5, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$1.35Aug 5, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027?$44.77Aug 5, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.