Probable-Solitaire
0x6f5cc1061172e0d380618f091fbcf8fbe5b0e705
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-224.69
Realised
$8.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
7 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.06
$4.80
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
150 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.50
- YES
Special counsel investigates Clarence Thomas in 2024?
87 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
71 shares @ 87.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-62.29
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
30 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$2.26Jan 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.25Jan 5, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.61Jan 4, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$8.00Dec 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$4.00Dec 21, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$6.00Dec 21, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$62.29Dec 20, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$0.00Dec 17, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$60.00Dec 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$45.00Nov 29, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$47.00Nov 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$39.95Nov 16, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpecial counsel investigates Clarence Thomas in 2024?$2.00Nov 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$20.00Oct 23, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?$5.50Oct 20, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.50Oct 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.20Sep 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?$0.00Sep 25, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?$0.00Sep 25, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?$50.00Sep 25, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $14.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".