Sardonic-Whelp
0x6f60120dd7e9c17446189d47a5b82db24c983764
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.69
Total PnL
$-0.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.17
$0.03
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.05
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.25
$0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2.14May 10, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$1.12May 10, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.22May 10, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$2.20May 10, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$7.22May 10, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$7.21Mar 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.35Feb 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.21Feb 10, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$9.88Feb 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$9.82Jan 19, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.22Jan 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$8.87Dec 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.21Dec 23, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$6.50Dec 23, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$6.50Dec 23, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$6.49Dec 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$6.31Dec 11, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$11.00Dec 11, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.