Practical-Jury
0x6f65e7e4782f0d50afaba493d4d11983b230e226
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$20.59
Total PnL
$-42.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.59
$0.59
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
8 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$20.46Jun 5, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6?$5.01Jun 5, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?$10.42Jun 2, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$11.12Jun 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?$10.03Jun 2, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?$10.00May 31, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$11.01May 31, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?$10.03May 31, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?$15.56May 31, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$15.63May 31, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$14.67May 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?$15.04May 28, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMCitrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?$11.99May 28, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMCitrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$17.65May 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.61May 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?$10.12May 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$15.16May 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?$5.00Jan 20, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$5.00Jan 20, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?$3.95Jan 20, 02:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.