0x6f672199ab3116488fe9f02b5abff3e83195014d
0x6f672199ab3116488fe9f02b5abff3e83195014d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.19
Realised
$-2.54
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
110 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Presidential Election?
46 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
22 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
20 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$0.74Jan 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$0.74Jan 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $9.78Jan 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $9.82Jan 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$9.91Jan 7, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$9.94Jan 7, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$9.96Jan 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$9.99Jan 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.43Dec 13, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.43Dec 13, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany confidence vote in 2024?$3.26Dec 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany confidence vote in 2024?$3.27Dec 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany confidence vote in 2024?$1.69Dec 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany confidence vote in 2024?$1.69Dec 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$2.30Dec 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$2.30Dec 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany confidence vote in 2024?$3.92Dec 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany confidence vote in 2024?$3.93Dec 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.40Dec 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.41Dec 13, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.