Bowed-Warlock
0x6f70e39e3335fd5fbde2a999aa835259ebb0891d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$56.92
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-331.88
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
33 shares @ 61.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.61
$2.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET
20 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$20.00
$2.04
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.05
$1.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
488 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
404 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-294.62
- YES
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
302 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$9.90Jun 4, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$9.90Jun 4, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.59Jun 4, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$0.31Jun 4, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.84Jun 4, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$8.50Jun 4, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.30Jun 4, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.40Jun 4, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.50Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.55Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.60Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.60Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.65Jun 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1AM ET$4.81Jun 4, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.96Jun 4, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.49Jun 4, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.41Jun 4, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.02Jun 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$8.35Jun 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.00Jun 2, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".