Impure-Swath
0x6f715c9c43a9bdf619c4912d182feaf265050b61
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$56.67
Total PnL
$-1.14
Realised
$-4.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$22.00
$2.20
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$18.00
$1.08
- NO
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$16.00
$0.64
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 67.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$15.38Jun 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$19.86Jun 16, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$16.96Jun 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMFC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5$2.25Jun 6, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMUD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 5.5$17.00Jun 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 5.5$15.68May 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5$2.18May 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMRams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5$19.00May 18, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5$0.00May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5$17.52May 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.5KMar 18, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.5KMar 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.4KMar 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.4KMar 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$127.68Mar 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$106.40Mar 18, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$293.06Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$293.06Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$480.07Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$386.56Mar 18, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $499.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.