Thin-Thesis
0x6f76e2d6c8d153e59eb6ea72a311724936406b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by March 20?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will OG Anunoby return before the playoffs?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will PSG win the 2023-24 Champions League?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
SHIB all time high by Friday?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern win the 2023-24 Champions League?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Julian Assange extradited to US before April?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.98Dec 4, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Dec 4, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$0.51Dec 4, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.03Nov 23, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSHIB all time high by Friday?$1.00Mar 7, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY$WIF listed on Coinbase in March?$1.00Mar 7, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?$1.00Mar 7, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk drops OpenAI case in March?$1.00Mar 7, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWas the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's Starship launch before March?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEM2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWas the Super Bowl rigged?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$0.00Mar 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$3.40Mar 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?$1.00Feb 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$2.00Feb 28, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".