Experienced-Incidence
0x6f7a94623165c4df23c9d92d9789be7da8ca7213
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.21
Total PnL
$-49.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 20?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?
2090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22?
2078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6?
2078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 2?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 1?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 26?$4.10Jun 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 24?$4.10Jun 24, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 18?$4.13Jun 18, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 15?$2.1KJun 16, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 15?$2.1KJun 16, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 15?$2.1KJun 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 15?$2.1KJun 15, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 14?$2.1KJun 15, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 14?$2.1KJun 15, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14?$2.1KJun 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14?$2.1KJun 14, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 13?$2.1KJun 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 13?$2.1KJun 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 13?$2.1KJun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 13?$2.1KJun 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11?$4.17Jun 12, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6?$4.16Jun 7, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5?$4.15Jun 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 2?$4.15Jun 2, 06:42 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $997.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.