Instructive-Pick
0x6f812cb3f73465c0d67813e1c5c4e67ed27e0864
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-4.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
1439 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
395 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-196.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
348 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
336 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-98.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
312 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
270 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-98.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
263 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.32Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.06Jul 21, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$5.16Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.19Jul 21, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$7.69Jul 21, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.12Jul 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Jul 20, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.86Jul 20, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$3.02Jul 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.20Jul 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.17Jul 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.21Jul 18, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$12.82Jul 18, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.21Jul 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.33Jul 18, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$7.81Jul 18, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.