0x6f81424e66fd1e2179df949fc49af61ede2394fd
0x6f81424e66fd1e2179df949fc49af61ede2394fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.80
Realised
$3.59
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
230 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 30?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of June?
97 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-77.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?
40 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?
36 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-24.29
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 26?
35 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
30 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?$24.60Jul 24, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?$42.73Jul 24, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?$33.96Jul 24, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?$1.44Jul 24, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 24?$41.98Jul 24, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 20?$72.05Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 20?$20.00Jul 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$7.13Jul 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$4.83Jul 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 20?$10.50Jul 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?$1.58Jul 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?$0.02Jul 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?$0.07Jul 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?$0.54Jul 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?$0.34Jul 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?$0.96Jul 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 20?$3.17Jul 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 20?$1.37Jul 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 20?$1.32Jul 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 20?$1.04Jul 20, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.