Pink-Preoccupation
0x6f8f98c613e8ff97b11acd58919a7c8c40e2722b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$382.80
Total PnL
$-349.26
Realised
$-105.63
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
11199 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$341.58
$17.36
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
7106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$-4.32
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
7525 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.76
$-6.29
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
7065 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.53
$-6.89
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
2349 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$3.52
$1.17
- YES
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-2.25
- YES
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.10Jul 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.26Jul 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.03Jul 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.00Jul 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.20Jul 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.06Jul 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.04Jul 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.35Jul 21, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.03Jul 20, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.01Jul 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.00Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Jul 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$31.49Jul 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.08Jul 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$32.50Jul 19, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$28.77Jul 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$115.32Jul 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.80Jul 18, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.27Jul 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$32.50Jul 18, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.