Costly-Feature
0x6f91d65a0d6cea628327fb65d767ef8b800cdd16
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?
792 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-185.80
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
474 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
424 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.27
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
146 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-48.18
- GREEN
Green vs. Ruffy
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
107 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.22
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
101 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$29.81Jun 29, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$118.94Jun 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$23.69Jun 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$23.68Jun 29, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$19.88Jun 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$49.63Jun 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-26?$55.88Jun 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$15.86Jun 26, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$68.88Jun 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$9.35Jun 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$18.69Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$37.38Jun 25, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$50.25Jun 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$26.26Jun 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPereira vs. Ankalaev$142.28Mar 9, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPereira vs. Ankalaev$5.80Mar 9, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Ankalaev$120.00Mar 9, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreen vs. Ruffy$20.00Mar 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?$73.10Jan 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?$1.65Jan 26, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $59.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.