Lean-Excess
0x6f95f87ba22c10a59d4f8068904e755bc3006ebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$15.40
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10AM ET$7.34Jun 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$8.00Jun 25, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Jun 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Jun 25, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Jun 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Jun 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.00Jun 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.08Jun 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$9.99Jun 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Jun 24, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.68Jun 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.00Jun 24, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.96Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.99Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$7.93Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.85Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$8.91Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.00Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.