Innocent-Deployment
0x6f9f238c844b6a284663b0bf9bea280ab92a0752
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07?
903 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-695.31
- CANUCKS
Golden Knights vs. Canucks
849 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-297.11
- YES
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
586 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.30
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?
476 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-61.86
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
367 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.39
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
318 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.81
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $155?
306 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.92
- YES
Orlando City SC leading at halftime?
273 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 19?
261 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.60
- YES
Will Andorra win on 2026-03-27?
211 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 3?$16.28Jul 4, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 3?$16.02Jun 29, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $80 June 15-21?$10.96Jun 22, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 22?$16.53Jun 22, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 June 15-21?$18.26Jun 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 22?$16.07Jun 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 June 15-21?$17.62Jun 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 June 15-21?$10.88Jun 19, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07?$695.31Apr 5, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMRed Star FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC: O/U 3.5$282.62Apr 4, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)$758.00Apr 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Homicide: New York: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$10.85Apr 4, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Canucks$297.12Apr 3, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrlando City SC leading at halftime?$32.76Apr 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)$659.46Apr 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of March?$639.73Apr 1, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMLatvia vs. Gibraltar: O/U 4.5$866.38Apr 1, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5$130.41Mar 29, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Star FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC: O/U 3.5$214.79Mar 29, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$208.00Mar 29, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $227.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.