Insistent-Sandpaper
0x6fa06be8b645e0b25b6288c61693c80a60d917c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$16.19
Total PnL
$-154.10
Realised
$-5.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
149 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.17
$0.17
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.38
$-0.62
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
168 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.53
$-3.47
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
83 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.79
$-2.21
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.24
$-2.76
- YES
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
384 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Camilo Vargas record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
177 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$6.00Jul 20, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$5.15Jul 20, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle$6.56Jul 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malygina$0.99Jul 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel AND Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee AND Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$0.99Jul 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel AND Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee AND Hamburg European Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anhelina Kalinina$1.00Jul 20, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan AND Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa$0.44Jul 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle$5.06Jul 20, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan AND Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa$0.99Jul 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.04Jul 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$7.46Jul 18, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$1.05Jul 18, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo AND Generali Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecai$1.86Jul 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$1.00Jul 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$2.00Jul 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$2.00Jul 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo AND Generali Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecai$0.99Jul 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEstoril Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Chun-Hsin Tseng AND Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi AND Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$2.12Jul 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Chun-Hsin Tseng AND Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi AND Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$1.50Jul 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Chun-Hsin Tseng AND Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi AND Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$0.99Jul 18, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.