Vast-Occasion
0x6fa5094700080239e6aa86eabd75f97e1ae954e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$42.11
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-453.50
Win rate
13%
186 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
30 shares @ 42.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$21.45
$8.85
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$10.70
$-0.30
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$9.96
$-0.12
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
300 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-75.75
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
101 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
95 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET
93 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
50 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$11.25Aug 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.00Aug 13, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$0.00Aug 13, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins$0.00Aug 13, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$25.00Aug 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10.37Aug 13, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$15.00Aug 13, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals$0.00Aug 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$12.97Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$12.66Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$12.81Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins$12.80Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$13.03Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$0.00Aug 12, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics$0.00Aug 12, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$18.00Aug 12, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants$23.00Aug 12, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$21.00Aug 12, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$24.00Aug 12, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals$0.00Aug 12, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 186 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
186 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $9.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 186 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.