0x6faee0b7969015fbaf4e193de891fe7649e303d6
0x6faee0b7969015fbaf4e193de891fe7649e303d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$80.77
Total PnL
$-261.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
459 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.16
$-1.84
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.28
$-1.72
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.21
$-1.79
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.84
$-3.16
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
308 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.69
$-2.31
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?
795 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco?$10.37Jun 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?$10.36Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco?$10.39Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?$10.37Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco?$10.39Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?$71.43Jun 28, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 1 - 2 England?$20.75Jun 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?$10.36Jun 27, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?$31.25Jun 27, 02:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.57Jun 26, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?$10.36Jun 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?$5.18Jun 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?$5.18Jun 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$10.36Jun 26, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?$20.77Jun 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?$20.77Jun 26, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$20.73Jun 26, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.