0x6fbb3f2a84909e6225a111f11ca309b25e0e83fc
0x6fbb3f2a84909e6225a111f11ca309b25e0e83fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$32.36
Total PnL
$-133.92
Realised
$-5.88
Win rate
0%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$6.45
$4.45
- YES
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-20?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- GAUTHIER ONCLIN
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatov
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 19?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 19?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- JAN SIMONSSON
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jack Karlsson Wistrand vs Jan Simonsson
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- CINCINNATI REDS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
7 shares @ 27.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- CRUZEIRO EC
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.04Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatov$1.05Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatov$1.05Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?$1.06Aug 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkova$1.06Aug 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang$1.05Aug 19, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$1.03Aug 19, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$1.03Aug 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5$1.05Aug 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.05Aug 19, 23:52 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Aug 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?$1.05Aug 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.05Aug 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?$1.06Aug 19, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$21.99Aug 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-19?$1.01Aug 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?$1.05Aug 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?$1.05Aug 19, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
81 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.