Functional-Bolero
0x6fc7bce79c474088a57ca9c361b337853f8f8ef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$25.25
Total PnL
$-124.87
Realised
$-3.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$25.25
$0.25
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
44 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- GUARDIANS
Rockies vs. Guardians
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- LAKERS
Suns vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$25.02Jun 26, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$49.02Jun 26, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$25.86Jun 26, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$86.50Jun 26, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.01Jun 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$25.19Jun 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$25.19Jun 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.01Jun 26, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$25.19Jun 26, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$31.25Jan 2, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$25.00Dec 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$20.00Dec 9, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$64.10Dec 9, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?$16.39Nov 4, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.15Oct 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMBuccaneers vs. Seahawks$25.54Oct 6, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Seahawks$18.39Oct 5, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Lakers$1.00Oct 3, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMAstros vs. Yankees$19.39Aug 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstros vs. Yankees$16.87Aug 9, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $29.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.