Frilly-Service
0x6fcac84365abab055cf438754ed5a14c78f605bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$68.4K
Total PnL
$-249.7K
Realised
$-143.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
62500 shares @ 81.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$50.3K
$-835.12
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
67596 shares @ 33.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$-12.5K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
47629 shares @ 52.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.3K
$-16.7K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
308463 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-71.9K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
11965 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
11140 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
1936 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-484.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$25.2KMay 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$26.24May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$666.66May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8.2KMay 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$692.44May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8.52May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$4.10May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$16.4KMay 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.7KMay 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$157.50May 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$459.01May 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$305.87May 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.8KApr 19, 08:31 UTC
- REWARD$4.08Apr 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$12.0KApr 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$103.64Apr 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$165.63Apr 1, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.5KApr 1, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$128.50Apr 1, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$99.60Apr 1, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$16.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 29, 18:20 UTC → May 29, 18:15 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$16.4K@81¢May 29, 18:15 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$16.4K
1 trades
30d volume
$16.4K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
$16.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".