Slight-Film
0x6fd2827c58f862bd1dcdc3450a4dbf658ade32d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
3%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
15814 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
14037 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
4720 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
3477 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
3387 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-155.26
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
3019 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
2608 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2303 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-526.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 10?
2023 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-705.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
1494 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-686.72
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.89Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$64.39Jul 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$62.59Jul 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$89.83Jul 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$102.66Jul 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$75.29Jul 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$60.61Jul 6, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$79.73Jul 6, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$60.07Jul 6, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.00Jul 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$101.49Jul 5, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Jul 5, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$59.10Jul 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$64.15Jul 5, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$64.00Jul 5, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$61.58Jul 5, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$108.71Jul 5, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$100.63Jul 5, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$122.56Jul 5, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$102.50Jul 5, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
32 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $78.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.