Tired-Wrinkle
0x6fd51c16425d8d5d1f38c76050c3a530480d5012
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-570.20
Realised
$-173.38
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?
288 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Solana dip to $120 December 1-7?
282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 17?
282 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 1?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 28?
276 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 7?
276 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 26?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 10?
275 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?
274 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 6?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?$109.59Jul 22, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?$107.40Jul 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 3?$1.67Jul 2, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 28?$149.68Jun 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 28?$137.40Jun 28, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 28?$9.58Jun 28, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$161.72May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$154.60May 26, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?$127.99May 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?$126.71May 16, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 31?$22.24May 10, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$136.11May 1, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 6?$0.00Apr 17, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 30?$0.00Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4.76Apr 1, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 3?$0.00Mar 31, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 31?$0.02Mar 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 31?$21.02Mar 31, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$4.76Mar 30, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$128.63Mar 30, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $53.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.