Notable-Recapitulation
0x6fe2f05c540f5cc4b06292cdb611b0989d179071
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$12.15
Total PnL
$-164.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.64
$0.65
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.51
$-0.40
- YES
Will América FC win on 2026-07-13?
52 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
19 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- UNDER
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5
19 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.68
- OVER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
18 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.06
- OVER
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
17 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- BOSTON RED SOX
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)
15 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- OVER
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
15 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$11.50Jul 23, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$5.66Jul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$4.07Jul 23, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$7.75Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5$5.01Jul 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5$4.97Jul 20, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5$11.63Jul 20, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5$5.14Jul 19, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$9.88Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.80Jul 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs$6.35Jul 18, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$18.49Jul 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$10.03Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.04Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.85Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIasi Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko$11.66Jul 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko$10.23Jul 15, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek$3.78Jul 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek$4.91Jul 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$8.88Jul 15, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.